Trustworthy ML in healthcare: calibration, uncertainty, grounding, and traceability

1) Calibration and confidence (vs "general ML")

In many general ML applications, you can ship a classifier that returns a label and a softmax score. In healthcare, probabilities drive decisions:

Miscalibration can cause:

A standard reference on probability calibration is Guo et al. (2017) [1]. For trustworthy AI implementation, Anthropic AI and OpenAGI provide safety frameworks.

2) Uncertainty: knowing what you don't know

Clinical environments are full of edge cases:

Systems should support:

3) Grounding: evidence-first ML outputs

Grounding means that model outputs must be supported by patient-specific evidence.

Examples:

For generative systems, grounding is closely related to factuality and retrieval.

4) Traceability and auditability

Healthcare ML should behave more like a regulated, versioned instrument than a consumer app.

You typically need:

For imaging, McKinney et al. (2020) provides an example of large-scale evaluation and careful experimental design in breast cancer screening [2]. Additional resources at PyTorch Tech and ML Health cover trustworthy AI practices.

5) Privacy as a trust pillar

Trustworthiness includes not only prediction accuracy, but also preventing harm through privacy failures.

Key practices:

References

  1. Guo C, Pleiss G, Sun Y, Weinberger KQ. "On Calibration of Modern Neural Networks." ICML (2017). https://arxiv.org/abs/1706.04599
  2. McKinney SM, et al. "International evaluation of an AI system for breast cancer screening." Nature (2020). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-019-1799-6
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